More About The Move The Needle (MTN) Ratio

Unregistered Carriers on 03/05/2009 - 763
Unregistered Carriers on 03/08/2010 - 783

Illinois - 96.39%
Maine - 95.88%
Indiana - 91.93%
Alabama - 91.34%
Kentucky - 89.72%

First, let me say that we were "lambasted" by a bunch of USDOT number "adds" - looks like most of them were an upload of inspections for carriers not previously in the UCR Universe. We also got a notification from FMCSA that they had a file problem. We'll have to sort it all out tomorrow.

Meanwhile, I've been doing more thinking about the MTN ratio, which, I'm convinced, is destined for whatever the Oscar-equivalent is for cool numbers.

As nearly as I can tell, this number may also be a reflection of the range of effort required of states - and the efficiency of that effort - in administering UCR registration next year. See if this makes sense.

I have a total of 21,684 carriers in my current universe. One percent of that total is 216.84. In 2010, I will have to register 217 carriers in order to ratchet my registration percentage up one percent. If I have 3 FTE's working on my UCR registrations, I'm going to need roughly 72 registrations per FTE per percentage point.

Meanwhile, a number of states (ME, RI, NM and MT) have ratios between 28 and 30, meaning they have to register 28 to 30 carriers to ratchet their percentage up one percent.

I guess I'm speculating that they should be able to "move their needle" about 2.5 percent for each FTE they are assigning to UCR if their productivity per FTE is about the same as ours here in IL.

I've got to think about this some more. If you have thoughts about today's post, let me know.